Sunday, December 14, 2014

Watchlist 12/14/14

At a multi-month support, good entry here if it holds
SP500 testing its previous breakout level.

bouncing off this support good entry place

Long Term Thesis

Stocks and Industries that are expected to grow in the next 5-10 years

Aerospace (ITA)
• Air and space travel will be more accessible than ever.
• Over the next 10 years the private space industry will surge.
• Rising transportation demand will accelerate airplane manufacturing.
• Drone technology is a growth industry in both private and military sectors.
• Cheaper fuel alternatives will develop, cutting costs, making it more accessible.
Technical: Almost a year long consolidation base forming.
Healthcare (XLV)
• Rising healthcare costs.
• More accessibility to health insurance, healthcare becoming available in retail.
• Biotech making more possible 

A bounce off the 50 week MA and a breakout to a new all-time high.

Media Stocks (PBS)
• The landscape of digital media will be transformed over the next 2 decades.
• The way we consume media will completely change.

High level base forming close to the 20 and 50 week MAs, support at 23

Biotech (IBB)

Nat Gas Distribution (LNG, NI)
• The united states will become one of the largest nat gas exporters in the world over the next 2 decades

Cyber Security (PANW, NTPT)
• Has been growing exponentially since 2013
• Increased high profile hacking will accelerate this sector
• 25-45% projected EPS growth in the next 5 years

Sunday, October 5, 2014

Watchlist 10/5/2014

This week's sell off provided some opportunities. Overall market trend is still very much in tact and these stocks are working well. Some good entry opportunities have presented themselves.

Forming a nice base, moving sideways looking ready to move higher on a breakout w/ volume.
SP500 holding this long term support line. Trend is still very much in tact for now.

Bouncing off support, this is at an entry point long.

Channeling upwards. Entry point if this holds above the 50ma

Biotech ETF consolidating close to the 50ma - looks ready to move higher on a breakout.

The strongest of the coffee stocks. Seeing an entry above 140

Holding this trend line and trading close to the 50ma, entry pt. if this can hold above it.

holding this trend line, trading range getting tighter. Looking for a consolidation and a move higher.

healthy trendline and move higher, buy point if this holds

Sunday, September 7, 2014

Watchlist 9/6/14

Comments below charts...

Biotech coming back to test the breakout level of 266, Adding to my position here.

Nike breaks out. This pattern is looking ripe for a buy opportunity. Setting up for higher prices. Very close to the 50ma.

The NASDQ has been consolidating past few days and looks poised to move higher. I added to my position here.

Best Buy setting up for higher prices. 

HP has been on a hot streak and looks like it might be back to test its previous breakout level. Possible entry opportunity.

Microsoft breaks out and is showing a nice signal for higher price action.

Micron Tech is a beast. 105% price growth, 82% earnings over the past year. Setting up to move higher.

At a good buy point, looking to breakout higher.

Western Refining has been in a long consolidation and looks to have broken out and poised to move higher.

Tuesday, September 2, 2014

3 Casinos Race to the Bottom

By April of this year the party was clearly over for these previous high flyers. Today they all seemed to fall through the thin ice of support at the same time. It will get a lot worse before it gets better. I'd stay far away.

Want to short? Look to short at a retest of prior support. Right now there are too many people running for the exits to go short, too much risk of a squeeze.

Sunday, August 17, 2014

Watchlist 8/17/14

Stocks and ETFs to keep an eye on. All posted here have been in long mature uptrends and are approaching new highs.

Saturday, July 26, 2014

Trades & Performance 07/26/14

No better time than all-time-market-highs to post my trade performance.

- I don't buy and hold.

- I buy dips and base/consolidation breakouts. Sell some on new highs and over extended prices.

- I use trailing stops (light grey line). I don't use sell targets.

- My trades always start with a "core" holding and I build on that. I rarely jump in all at once.

My current trades and performance below:
Oil and Gas driller, its like watching paint dry but continues to move higher.

Held through earning which I almost never do. Glad I did.

I'm just buying on dips and letting this work.

Bought this on a breakout and it gradually broke down. I may jump back in if this sets up again. Long term this is looking decent.

NADSQ 100 broke out of a base in mid may where I caught it. I've just been letting it work.

I've been buying dips and shaving off tiny bits on new highs. My longest trade yet.

Solar has been my best trade. Bought this on a breakout from a base last may and have buying dips and selling new highs to take profit along the way. I believe in solar long term.
This ETF out performs the SPY by its equal weighting of holdings. 

Same as the SPY I've been buying dips and shaving off tiny bits on new highs.

Friday, June 6, 2014

SP500 Roadmap, It's Paid to Stay Long

This chart shows that historically since Jan 2013 the SP500 has had 2 breakouts that went on multi-week rallies. How long will this one go?