Monday, October 24, 2011
Retail Trade: $FOSL
Retail has been bullish. One stock that seems to be not getting tired is Fossil. A cup and handle formation with a breakout today could mean bullish price action.
S&P Retail Index, climbing towards resistance. Could mean retail stocks are due for a pull back
S&P Retail Index, climbing towards resistance. Could mean retail stocks are due for a pull back
Thursday, October 20, 2011
How I Traded Apple Over Q3 Earnings: $AAPL
Strategy:
Minimize downside risk, protect existing profits
Keep some on the table to not miss out on potential gap up
Sell remaining shares at market open regardless of gap up or down.
Theory
Given high expectations on EPS, if apple fails to meet these expectations or sandbags their forward guidance, stock could fall 5-6% or to $395-400
If EPS targets are greatly exceeded as expected stock could gap up in the morning 5-8%
What I Did
Sold 2/3rds before earnings. Next morning at the bell I sold the remaining 1/3.
Tuesday, October 18, 2011
Thursday, October 13, 2011
Rising Wedges - $SPX, $DJI, $RUT
Friday, October 7, 2011
Thursday, October 6, 2011
Bears Are Looming - $SPX, $COMP
50 day moving averages are looming overhead. Markets have had an extensive run in the past 3 days. Resistance is approaching. Not many catalysts that can explode through right now. Is another "not as bad as analysts expected" report really going jolt the markets?
4 Trades For A Bear Market - $NFLX, $TZA, $FAZ, $TLT
Bear flag pattern developing. Short on any failure .
Short ETF of the Russell 2000 index. This is triple leveraged. Trade with caution.
Short ETF of financials, triple leveraged.
This stock has been clawing its way up on bad european news. Price could come lower to support. Could be a great play once the bears return.
Update - $MAKO, $FAS
$MAKO - This stock ripped today, I was wrong the market was right. It's too far above the 50ma for a short
$FAS - The inverse $FAZ is coming to support and looks more likely to be a buy, thus destroying the falling wedge pattern I'd thought was developing.
$FAS - The inverse $FAZ is coming to support and looks more likely to be a buy, thus destroying the falling wedge pattern I'd thought was developing.
Wednesday, October 5, 2011
Potential Set-ups $MAKO, $FAS
Potential long set up for financials. A lot of things have to go right for this set up to work. This chart is a couple of days old. So the stock needs another couple strong days for a break out.
Potential short play. This stock is actually very strong fundamentally. I have traded this stock and made good money from it but I won't hesitate to play it on the downside as well. I'm going to be cautious as the stock's propensity towards strength could take over.
Monday, October 3, 2011
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